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The oily course

S Venkatraman from Rabo India finance examines the trends in the edible oil sector and the expected implications of the changing market

India is the largest importer (ahead of EU and China) and the third largest consumer (after China and EU) of edible oil in the world. It buys almost 15 per cent of the total oils traded worldwide.
Each year, the country consumes over 10 million tonnes of edible oil (see figure 1). The per capita consumption is around 10 kg per year, considerably lower than most developed countries. Palm oil (mainly imported) and soyabean oil account for almost half of the total edible oil consumption followed by mustard and groundnut oil.
Until the early 1990s, India was selfsufficient in the production of edible oil. Trade policy reforms in the mid-1990s, followed by declining domestic oilseed production, fuelled an increase in oil imports. Depending on the domestic demand and supply situation, changes were made to the tariff rate on certain oils and also to the differentials between the tariffs of refined and crude oil. Duties were based on the Tariff Rate Value (TRV), which is aimed at preventing the reporting of low import prices to evade tariffs.

The recent changes in policy are:

Year 2000: Higher tariffs were introduced for refined oils, as opposed to crude oils, to shift imports from refined, bleached and deodorised (RBD) palmolein and refined soft oils to crude oils.

Year 2001: The import duty on sunflower oil and safflower oil was increased from 35 per cent to 75 per cent, while on soyabean oil from 35 per cent to 45 per cent. This led to an increase in the consumer prices of sunflower and safflower oils and therefore consumers shifted to cheaper options.
In October 2001, the duty differential between crude palm oil and RBD palmolein went up from 17.4 per cent to 27.4 per cent.
This led to a further increase in the import of crude oil.

Year 2003: Excise duty for branded and unbranded products was announced as Re 1 per kg for all refined oils and Rs 1.25 per kg on vanaspati.
Owing to the reduced rainfall and drought in many parts of the country in 2002-03, oilseed output was projected to drop from 20.5 million tonnes in 2001-02 to 15.6 million tonnes in the subsequent year. This led to a sharp increase in edible oil prices. In 2003, the import duty on RBD palmolein was reduced from 92.4 per cent to 70 per cent. Only 6,400 tonnes of RBD palmolein was imported between November 2002 and April 2003.
Following the reduction in duty, 319,379 tonnes were imported in the period May 2003 to October 2003.
The share of refined oils (led by RBD palmolein) also went up by over 10 per cent. The industries are urging the Indian

Figure 1
Edible oils in India – key statistics

OPENING STOCK
0.90
0.84
DOMESTIC PRODUCTION
5.64
4.33
TOTAL
6.54
5.17
CONSUMPTION
10.13
9.85
DIFFERENCE
3.59
4.69
CLOSING STOCK
0.84
0.38
IMPORTS
4.43
5.07
POPULATION IN MILLION
1014
1057
PER CAPITA
CONSUMPTION ( KG)
9.73
9.32

ALL FIGURES ARE IN MILLION TONNES SOURCE: SOLVENT EXTRACTORS' ASSOCIATION OF INDIA

....CONTD

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